
75% K O 3.575% ER O 2.537.5% HA O 4.5
Season
All Spencer Strider propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g37.5%Over: 3-5
6vs O 4.5-103
@
Mets6/12
✓✓✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 50%(2)A: 33.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(29%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Strider's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
6/12Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Strider.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
6/6Pitchers with similar repertoires to Strider have an ERA of 4.30 against the Pirates over the last year.
★★★★★vs Nick Lodolo
5/31Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.5% of the time against pitchers similar to Strider over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Reds.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-5 Over8g · 9 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Strider hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Spencer Strider hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 4.1.
Is Spencer Strider over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Strider over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$188 (-23.5% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 4.1.
What is Spencer Strider's hits allowed average this season?
Spencer Strider averages 4.1 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.

Inside Edge