Atlanta Braves75% K O 3.575% ER O 2.537.5% HA O 4.5
Season
All Spencer Strider propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g75%Over: 6-2
7vs O 2.5+105
@
Mets6/12
Mets6/12✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 83.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(29%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Strider's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
6/12Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Strider.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
6/6Pitchers with similar repertoires to Strider have an ERA of 4.30 against the Pirates over the last year.
★★★★★vs Nick Lodolo
5/31Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.5% of the time against pitchers similar to Strider over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Reds.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-4 Over8g · 12 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Strider hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Spencer Strider hits the over on earned runs 2.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2 with an average actual of 2.9.
Is Spencer Strider over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Strider over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$456 (+57% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 2.9.
What is Spencer Strider's earned runs average this season?
Spencer Strider averages 2.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge