Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves61.5% HA O 5.550% ER O 2.536.4% K O 5.5
Season
All Spencer Schwellenbach propsProps — 202517 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g52.9%Over: 9-8
1vs O 2.5+120
vs
Phillies6/28
Phillies6/28✗✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(24%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Schwellenbach's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 42.9%(3-4) | 62.5%(5-3) | 27.3%(3-8) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
6/28Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .263 against the Phillies over the last two years.
★★★★★
6/23Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .252 against the Mets over the last two years.
★★★★★
6/17Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .249 against the Mets over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-9 Over17g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/28 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 6/28 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/23 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 6/17 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 6/11 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 6/6 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 5/31 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/25 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -150 |
| 5/18 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -130 |
| 5/13 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 5/8 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -160 |
| 5/3 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 4/27 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +100 |
| 4/21 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +130 |
| 4/15 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 4/10 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 4/4 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 3/29 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Schwellenbach hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Spencer Schwellenbach hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 5-5 with an average actual of 2.9.
Is Spencer Schwellenbach over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2025, betting $100 on Spencer Schwellenbach over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$70 (-4.12% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.9.
What is Spencer Schwellenbach's earned runs average this season?
Spencer Schwellenbach averages 2.9 earned runs per game in 2025 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.