Boston Red Sox75% OUT O 17.560% K O 3.546.7% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Sonny Gray propsProps — 202615 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
15g33.3%Over: 5-10
4vs O 4.5-155
@
Angels7/4
Angels7/4✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✗
H: 16.7%(6)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(25%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gray's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-3) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri
7/4Current Angels hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Gray over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
6/28Current Yankees hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Gray over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Yankees.
★★★★★vs Sean Sullivan
6/23Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Gray.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-15 Over15g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Angels | O 5.5 | 4 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Angels | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -155 |
| 6/28 | vs Yankees | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/28 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 6/23 | @ Rockies | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -127 |
| 6/18 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -116 |
| 6/12 | vs Rangers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 6/5 | @Yankees | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 5/30 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 5/24 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -117 |
| 5/18 | @ Royals | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -110 |
| 5/13 | vs Phillies | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +119 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 4/20 | vsTigers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 4/20 | vsTigers | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +122 |
| 4/14 | @Twins | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -150 |
| 4/14 | @Twins | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +121 |
| 4/8 | vs Brewers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 4/3 | vs Padres | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +121 |
| 4/3 | vsPadres | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -168 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Sonny Gray hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Sonny Gray hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 27.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-8 with an average actual of 4.4.
Is Sonny Gray over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 15 games in 2026, betting $100 on Sonny Gray over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$611 (-40.73% ROI). The hit rate is 27.3% with an average actual of 4.4.
What is Sonny Gray's hits allowed average this season?
Sonny Gray averages 4.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 15 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge