Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox66.7% OUT O 16.540% ER O 1.528.6% K O 3.5
Season
All Sonny Gray propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
7g14.3%Over: 1-6
5vs O 5.5-110
@
Royals5/18
Royals5/18✗✗✗✗✓✗✗
H: 0%(4)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(38%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gray's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Seth Lugo
5/18Royals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Gray.
★★★★★vs Andrew Painter
5/13Phillies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Gray.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/6Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Gray.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-9 Over7g · 11 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Sonny Gray hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Sonny Gray hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 1-5 with an average actual of 4.2.
Is Sonny Gray over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Sonny Gray over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$533 (-76.14% ROI). The hit rate is 16.7% with an average actual of 4.2.
What is Sonny Gray's hits allowed average this season?
Sonny Gray averages 4.2 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.