Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox66.7% OUT O 16.540% ER O 1.528.6% K O 3.5
Season
All Sonny Gray propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g28.6%Over: 2-5
1vs O 2.5-105
@
Royals5/18
Royals5/18✗✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 33.3%(3)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(38%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gray's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Seth Lugo
5/18Royals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Gray.
★★★★★vs Andrew Painter
5/13Phillies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Gray.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/6Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Gray.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-8 Over7g · 10 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Sonny Gray hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Sonny Gray hits the over on earned runs 1.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Sonny Gray over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Sonny Gray over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$382 (-54.57% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Sonny Gray's earned runs average this season?
Sonny Gray averages 1.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.