
75% OUT O 17.570% K O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Shota Imanaga propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g30%Over: 3-7
8vs O 2.5-112
vs
Brewers5/18
✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(20%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Imanaga's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brandon Sproat
5/18Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Imanaga.
★★★★★vs JR Ritchie
5/13Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Imanaga have an ERA of 4.88 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★
5/7Reds hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Imanaga.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-8 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | vs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -112 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -112 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 4/15 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -124 |
| 4/10 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 4/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 3/29 | vs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +129 |
| 3/29 | vs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -176 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Shota Imanaga hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shota Imanaga hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.1.
Is Shota Imanaga over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shota Imanaga over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$392 (-39.2% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 3.1.
What is Shota Imanaga's earned runs average this season?
Shota Imanaga averages 3.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Inside Edge