
93.3% K O 2.564.3% OUT O 15.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Sean Burke propsProps — 202615 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
15g33.3%Over: 5-10
1vs O 2.5+112
@
Guardians7/4
✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓
H: 50%(8)A: 14.3%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(13%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Burke's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 57.1%(4-3) | 57.1%(4-3) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(3-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | — | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
7/4Current Guardians hitters are batting .240 against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like like Burke over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
6/29Current Orioles hitters have struck out 22.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Burke over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Orioles.
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
6/23Guardians hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Burke.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-13 Over15g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +112 |
| 6/29 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -116 |
| 6/23 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 6/23 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +132 |
| 6/18 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 6/18 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/13 | vs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -128 |
| 5/31 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 5/31 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -172 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -177 |
| 5/20 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 5/8 | vs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +102 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 4/21 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -113 |
| 4/15 | vs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +111 |
| 4/8 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 3/28 | @ | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +124 |
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Sean Burke hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Sean Burke hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-10 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Sean Burke over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 15 games in 2026, betting $100 on Sean Burke over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$489 (-32.6% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Sean Burke's earned runs average this season?
Sean Burke averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 15 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Inside Edge