
63.6% HRR O 0.559.8% H O 0.535.4% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Rowdy Tellez propsProps — 202582 games with closing lines
Home Runs
82g17.1%Over: 14-68
0vs O 0.5+440
@
Guardians9/26
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 18.6%(43)A: 15.4%(39)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(4%)
Total Matchups
137Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tellez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 77.8%(7-2) | 11.1%(1-8) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(12-12) | 4.2%(1-23) | 20.8%(5-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 67.5%(27-13) | 30%(12-28) | 45%(18-22) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
9/28Tellez has taken Williams deep 2 times in his last 3 ABs against him but Williams has allowed a batting avg of just of .204 (44-for-216) against bottom-tier hitters like Tellez over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
9/27Matchup data is limited but favors Cantillo.
★★★★★vs Slade Cecconi
9/26Tellez is slugging .466 in his last 234 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Cecconi over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
14-142 Over82g · 156 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Rowdy Tellez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Rowdy Tellez hits the over on home runs 0.5 17.1% of the time in 2025, going 14-68 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Rowdy Tellez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 82 games in 2025, betting $100 on Rowdy Tellez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,975 (+24.09% ROI). The hit rate is 17.1% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Rowdy Tellez's home runs average this season?
Rowdy Tellez averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2025 across 82 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge