Atlanta Braves71.4% BBA O 1.533.3% ER O 2.528.6% HA O 4.5
Season
All Reynaldo Lopez propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g37.5%Over: 3-5
3vs O 4.5-105
vs
Mets7/6
Mets7/6✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 25%(4)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(7%)
Total Matchups
45Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lopez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Current Mets hitters are batting .238 in their last 429 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Lopez, but other matchup data favors the Mets.
★★★★★vs Michael McGreevy
7/1Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.01 against the Cardinals in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
6/26Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lopez.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-6 Over8g · 10 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -105 |
| 7/1 | vs Cardinals | O 4.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/1 | vsCardinals | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -135 |
| 6/26 | @ Giants | O 3.5 | 4 | W | — |
| 6/26 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +101 |
| 4/21 | @ Nationals | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -120 |
| 4/14 | vs Marlins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 4/7 | @ Angels | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 4/2 | @ Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -104 |
| 3/28 | vs Royals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Reynaldo Lopez hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Reynaldo Lopez hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 3.6.
Is Reynaldo Lopez over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Reynaldo Lopez over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$237 (-29.62% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 3.6.
What is Reynaldo Lopez's hits allowed average this season?
Reynaldo Lopez averages 3.6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge