Atlanta Braves71.4% BBA O 1.533.3% ER O 2.528.6% HA O 4.5
Season
All Reynaldo Lopez propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g25%Over: 2-6
1vs O 2.5+101
vs
Mets7/6
Mets7/6✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(7%)
Total Matchups
45Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lopez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Current Mets hitters are batting .238 in their last 429 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Lopez, but other matchup data favors the Mets.
★★★★★vs Michael McGreevy
7/1Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.01 against the Cardinals in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
6/26Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lopez.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-8 Over8g · 11 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Reynaldo Lopez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Reynaldo Lopez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 1.7.
Is Reynaldo Lopez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Reynaldo Lopez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$281 (-35.12% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 1.7.
What is Reynaldo Lopez's earned runs average this season?
Reynaldo Lopez averages 1.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge