Boston Red Sox94.1% K O 2.547.1% BBA O 1.546.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Ranger Suarez propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g41.2%Over: 7-10-1
3vs O 2.5+120
@
Angels7/5
Angels7/5✓✓✗✗✗✗P✓✓✗
H: 50%(8)A: 30%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(28%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Suarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 80%(4-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | — | 0%(0-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson
7/5Current Angels hitters are batting .245 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Suarez over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
6/29Current Nationals hitters have an OPS of .670 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Suarez over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Freeland
6/24Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Suarez.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-16-1 Over18g · 28 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 7/5 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 6/29 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +116 |
| 6/24 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 6/19 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +127 |
| 6/19 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/13 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 6/13 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +133 |
| 6/7 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +111 |
| 6/6 | @Yankees | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -107 |
| 5/31 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/31 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 5/26 | vs Braves | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 5/19 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -159 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -139 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -174 |
| 4/27 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 4/22 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +116 |
| 4/17 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -167 |
| 4/17 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/11 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/11 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/5 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 3/30 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +134 |
| 3/30 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -162 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ranger Suarez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ranger Suarez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-10-1 with an average actual of 1.8.
Is Ranger Suarez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ranger Suarez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$177 (-9.83% ROI). The hit rate is 41.2% with an average actual of 1.8.
What is Ranger Suarez's earned runs average this season?
Ranger Suarez averages 1.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge