Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox88.9% K O 2.544.4% BBA O 1.540% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Ranger Suarez propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g33.3%Over: 3-6
1vs O 2.5+127
@
Royals5/19
Royals5/19✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓
H: 40%(5)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(22%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Suarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | — | 0%(0-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.30 against the Royals since last season.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/14Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.58 against the Phillies in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Phillies.
★★★★★vs Cody Bolton
5/3Current Astros hitters are batting .232 against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Suarez over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-11 Over9g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -159 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -139 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -174 |
| 4/27 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 4/22 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +116 |
| 4/17 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -167 |
| 4/17 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/11 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/11 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/5 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 3/30 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +134 |
| 3/30 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -162 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ranger Suarez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ranger Suarez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 1.4.
Is Ranger Suarez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ranger Suarez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$253 (-28.11% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 1.4.
What is Ranger Suarez's earned runs average this season?
Ranger Suarez averages 1.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.