Washington Nationals64% HRR O 0.558.8% H O 0.542.3% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Paul DeJong propsProps — 202553 games with closing lines
Home Runs
53g11.5%Over: 6-46-1
0vs O 0.5+420
vs
White Sox9/27
White Sox9/27P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 14.3%(28)A: 8%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(5%)
Total Matchups
94Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How DeJong's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 14.3%(1-6) | 14.3%(1-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(4-10) | 28.6%(4-10) | 0%(0-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(14-7) | 23.8%(5-16) | 9.1%(2-20) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Smith
9/28DeJong has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.5% in his last 26 AB's; League avg: 20.7%.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
9/27Burke has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 against hitters like DeJong over the last two years, but DeJong is batting just .211 (38-for-180) against right-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Yoendrys Gomez
9/26DeJong is batting just .172 (11-for-64) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Gomez over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-92-2 Over53g · 100 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5000 |
| 9/27 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +420 |
| 9/26 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 9/26 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +675 |
| 9/24 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 9/24 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 9/22 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 9/22 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/21 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/21 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/19 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 9/19 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +625 |
| 9/15 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 9/15 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/14 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 9/11 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 9/11 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 9/8 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 9/8 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/2 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 9/2 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 8/31 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 8/31 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +560 |
| 8/30 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 8/30 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 8/25 | @ Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 8/24 | @ Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 8/24 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 8/21 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 8/21 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 8/19 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 8/19 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +550 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 8/15 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 8/15 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +550 |
| 8/12 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 8/11 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +480 |
| 8/11 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 8/10 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 8/9 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 8/9 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +600 |
| 8/7 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Paul DeJong hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Paul DeJong hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.5% of the time in 2025, going 6-46-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Paul DeJong over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 53 games in 2025, betting $100 on Paul DeJong over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,070 (-20.19% ROI). The hit rate is 11.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Paul DeJong's home runs average this season?
Paul DeJong averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 53 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge