New York Mets94.4% K O 3.575% BBA O 1.560% ER O 1.5
Season
All Nolan McLean propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g47.1%Over: 8-9-1
2vs O 2.5+105
@
Braves7/5
Braves7/5✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 71.4%(7)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
15(83%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How McLean's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 93.3%(14-1) | 44.4%(4-5) | 57.1%(8-6) | 57.1%(8-6) | 62.5%(5-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Martín Pérez
7/5Current Braves hitters are batting .187 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like McLean over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
6/30Current Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .677 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like McLean over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
6/24Current Cubs hitters have struck out 27.7% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like McLean over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
9-12-1 Over18g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/30 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 6/24 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +123 |
| 6/17 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 6/12 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/6 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -143 |
| 6/6 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +109 |
| 5/31 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -172 |
| 5/31 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 5/25 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -155 |
| 5/19 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +113 |
| 5/14 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 5/8 | @ Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -171 |
| 5/8 | @Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 5/2 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 5/2 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -145 |
| 4/26 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -126 |
| 4/21 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -126 |
| 4/14 | @ Dodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +117 |
| 4/9 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +107 |
| 4/3 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -154 |
| 3/29 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +114 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nolan McLean hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Nolan McLean hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4-1 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Nolan McLean over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nolan McLean over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$148 (-8.22% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Nolan McLean's earned runs average this season?
Nolan McLean averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge