Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians48.5% H O 0.539.4% 1B O 0.535.9% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Nolan Jones propsProps — 2025100 games with closing lines
Home Runs
100g4%Over: 4-95-1
0vs O 0.5+725
@
Twins9/20
Twins9/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 6%(50)A: 2%(50)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(1%)
Total Matchups
161Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jones's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 0%(0-10) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 22.2%(2-7) | 0%(0-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(13-13) | 26.9%(7-19) | 3.8%(1-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.2%(24-28) | 25.5%(13-38) | 5.8%(3-49) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bailey Ober
9/20Jones is batting just .212 (22-for-104) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Ober over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Joe Ryan
9/20Left-handed batters who strike out a lot like Jones are batting just .118 (4-for-34) against Ryan over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Pablo Lopez
9/19Jones has a wOBA of just .178 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-163-2 Over100g · 169 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 9/18 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 9/17 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 9/16 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/16 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 9/14 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 9/14 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/13 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/13 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 9/11 | vs Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 9/11 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/9 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/9 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 9/8 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/8 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 9/7 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 9/7 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 9/6 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 9/6 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/5 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 9/5 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/4 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/4 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 9/2 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 9/1 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 8/31 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 8/31 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 8/30 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 8/30 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 8/29 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1100 |
| 8/27 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1100 |
| 8/25 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 8/19 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 8/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 8/17 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 8/12 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 8/12 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 8/9 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 8/9 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 8/4 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 8/4 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 8/3 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 8/3 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/30 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/30 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 7/29 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 7/29 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 7/28 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 7/28 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/24 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Nolan Jones hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nolan Jones hits the over on home runs 0.5 4% of the time in 2025, going 4-95-1 with an average actual of 0.
Is Nolan Jones over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 100 games in 2025, betting $100 on Nolan Jones over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$5,250 (-52.5% ROI). The hit rate is 4% with an average actual of 0.
What is Nolan Jones's home runs average this season?
Nolan Jones averages 0 home runs per game in 2025 across 100 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.