Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs83% HRR O 0.572.9% H O 0.561.7% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Nico Hoerner propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g8.2%Over: 4-45-1
0vs O 0.5+1500
vs
Brewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 7.7%(26)A: 8.7%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(10%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Hoerner's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-5) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 87.5%(14-2) | 6.3%(1-15) | 37.5%(6-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 14.3%(1-6) | 57.1%(4-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(10-5) | 12.5%(2-14) | 43.8%(7-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 20%(1-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Arrighetti has allowed a slugging percentage of .468 against top-tier hitters like Hoerner over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Hoerner is slugging .524 in his last 89 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Harrison over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Hoerner does not have a well hit ball in 21 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-99-2 Over49g · 105 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 5/17 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 5/17 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/14 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1340 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1080 |
| 5/10 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/10 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1160 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1160 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1260 |
| 5/7 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/7 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 5/3 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/3 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/2 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +40000 |
| 5/2 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1300 |
| 5/1 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1820 |
| 5/1 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/29 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/29 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/28 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/28 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 4/26 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 4/26 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/25 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/25 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 4/24 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +990 |
| 4/24 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nico Hoerner hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nico Hoerner hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.2% of the time in 2026, going 4-45-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Nico Hoerner over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nico Hoerner over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$530 (-10.6% ROI). The hit rate is 8.2% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Nico Hoerner's home runs average this season?
Nico Hoerner averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.