Tampa Bay Rays82.4% K O 2.550% OUT O 17.546.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Nick Martinez propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g23.5%Over: 4-13-1
1vs O 2.5-104
@
Astros7/3
Astros7/3✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(9)A: 11.1%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Martinez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(4-0) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
7/3Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.56 against the Astros in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Astros.
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
6/26Pitchers with similar repertoires to Martinez have an ERA of 4.51 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
★★★★★vs Andrew Alvarez
6/21Current Nationals hitters are batting .277 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Martinez over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-14-1 Over18g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 6/26 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -112 |
| 6/21 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -102 |
| 6/15 | @ Dodgers | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +111 |
| 6/15 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -175 |
| 6/9 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 6/3 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/29 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 5/29 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -170 |
| 5/22 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +113 |
| 5/16 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 5/10 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -122 |
| 5/9 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -125 |
| 5/4 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 4/28 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 4/22 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -109 |
| 4/17 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 4/11 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -116 |
| 4/5 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +106 |
| 3/30 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -104 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nick Martinez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Nick Martinez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 23.5% of the time in 2026, going 4-13-1 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Nick Martinez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nick Martinez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$930 (-51.67% ROI). The hit rate is 23.5% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Nick Martinez's earned runs average this season?
Nick Martinez averages 1.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge