Inside Edge
San Diego Padres53.6% HRR O 0.551.9% SO O 0.550% H O 0.5
Season
All Nick Castellanos propsProps — 202638 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
36g17.2%Over: 5-24-7
0vs O 0.5+240
vs
Dodgers5/20
Dodgers5/20✗✗✗P✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 5%(20)A: 25%(16)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(8%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castellanos's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 0%(0-8) | 37.5%(3-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 10%(1-9) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 10%(1-9) | 0%(0-10) | 0%(0-10) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .509 against right-handed batters who hit for power like Castellanos over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Bottom-tier hitters like Castellanos are batting just .170 (16-for-94) against Ohtani over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Castellanos is batting just .220 (65-for-295) against right-handers with avg flyball rates like Sheehan over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-64-17 Over36g · 87 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 5/20 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/20 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/19 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/19 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/19 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/18 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/18 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 5/18 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 5/17 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/17 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +195 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +230 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/14 | @ Brewers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +190 |
| 5/14 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1600 |
| 5/14 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/13 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/13 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +225 |
| 5/12 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 5/12 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/7 | vs Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 5/7 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/7 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/6 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/6 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/6 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/5 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
| 5/5 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +200 |
| 5/5 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/3 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +156 |
| 5/3 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/3 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/1 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/1 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/29 | vs Cubs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1200 |
| 4/29 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +175 |
| 4/28 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/28 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 4/27 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 4/27 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/23 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +110 |
| 4/23 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +2500 |
| 4/23 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +600 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +480 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 4/21 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 4/21 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nick Castellanos hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nick Castellanos hits the over on runs scored 0.5 17.2% of the time in 2026, going 5-24-7 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Nick Castellanos over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 36 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nick Castellanos over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,410 (-39.17% ROI). The hit rate is 17.2% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Nick Castellanos's runs scored average this season?
Nick Castellanos averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 36 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.