Inside Edge
San Diego Padres53.6% HRR O 0.551.9% SO O 0.550% H O 0.5
Season
All Nick Castellanos propsProps — 202638 games with closing lines
Home Runs
37g6.7%Over: 2-28-7
0vs O 0.5+800
vs
Dodgers5/20
Dodgers5/20✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.8%(21)A: 6.3%(16)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(8%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castellanos's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 0%(0-8) | 37.5%(3-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 10%(1-9) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 10%(1-9) | 0%(0-10) | 0%(0-10) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .509 against right-handed batters who hit for power like Castellanos over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Bottom-tier hitters like Castellanos are batting just .170 (16-for-94) against Ohtani over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Castellanos is batting just .220 (65-for-295) against right-handers with avg flyball rates like Sheehan over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-59-14 Over37g · 75 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/20 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/18 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/18 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/17 | @ Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +950 |
| 5/17 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +820 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +40000 |
| 5/14 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/14 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/13 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/13 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 5/12 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7400 |
| 5/12 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +620 |
| 5/7 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/7 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +625 |
| 5/6 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 5/6 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/5 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/5 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 5/3 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/3 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/1 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +675 |
| 5/1 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/29 | vs Cubs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +650 |
| 4/29 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +7000 |
| 4/28 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 4/28 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/27 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7800 |
| 4/27 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 4/23 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +550 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 4/21 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/21 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 4/18 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +500 |
| 4/18 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 4/17 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/17 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +930 |
| 4/16 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
| 4/16 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +725 |
| 4/16 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +9000 |
| 4/15 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +660 |
| 4/15 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8600 |
| 4/15 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/14 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +9000 |
| 4/14 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nick Castellanos hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nick Castellanos hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.7% of the time in 2026, going 2-28-7 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Nick Castellanos over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 37 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nick Castellanos over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,330 (-35.95% ROI). The hit rate is 6.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Nick Castellanos's home runs average this season?
Nick Castellanos averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 37 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.