St. Louis Cardinals72.7% HRR O 0.563.6% H O 0.563.6% TB O 0.5
Season
All Nelson Velazquez propsProps — 202613 games with closing lines
Home Runs
12g18.2%Over: 2-9-1
0vs O 0.5+533
vs
Brewers7/6
Brewers7/6✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 0%(6)A: 33.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(6%)
Total Matchups
36Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Velazquez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-5) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Velazquez has an OPS of .896 in 55 PA's this season.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Misiorowski.
★★★★★vs Shane Drohan
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Velazquez.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-26-3 Over12g · 31 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +533 |
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3000 |
| 7/4 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/3 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3200 |
| 7/3 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +375 |
| 7/3 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +462 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/24 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5400 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +485 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/23 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/23 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/18 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +453 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/13 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 6/13 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/10 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6700 |
| 6/10 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +558 |
| 6/6 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 6/6 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 6/3 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 6/3 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/31 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/31 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nelson Velazquez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nelson Velazquez hits the over on home runs 0.5 18.2% of the time in 2026, going 2-9-1 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Nelson Velazquez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 12 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nelson Velazquez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$120 (+10% ROI). The hit rate is 18.2% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Nelson Velazquez's home runs average this season?
Nelson Velazquez averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 12 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge