Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds77.8% SO O 0.560.7% HRR O 0.557.1% H O 0.5
Season
All Nathaniel Lowe propsProps — 202630 games with closing lines
Home Runs
30g14.3%Over: 4-24-2
0vs O 0.5+600
@
Phillies5/20
Phillies5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 23.1%(13)A: 5.9%(17)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lowe's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | Home RunsO 0.5 | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) | 50%(3-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 7.1%(1-13) | 50%(7-7) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22Lowe is slugging .482 in his last 280 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Leahy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
5/20Lowe has a wOBA of .387 with 12 HR's in his last 198 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Nola over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/19Lowe is slugging .548 in his last 73 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-52-4 Over30g · 60 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/17 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/17 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8400 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +720 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9400 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/13 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/13 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/10 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5700 |
| 5/10 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +495 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5700 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +466 |
| 5/7 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/7 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8800 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +600 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +496 |
| 5/3 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/30 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +489 |
| 4/30 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +443 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +576 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/26 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +530 |
| 4/26 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +7000 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +650 |
| 4/24 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/24 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +820 |
| 4/22 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 4/22 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/18 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/18 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathaniel Lowe hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nathaniel Lowe hits the over on home runs 0.5 14.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-24-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Nathaniel Lowe over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 30 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathaniel Lowe over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$131 (-4.37% ROI). The hit rate is 14.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Nathaniel Lowe's home runs average this season?
Nathaniel Lowe averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 30 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.