Texas Rangers76.5% K O 5.556.3% ER O 2.550% HA O 5.5
Season
All Nathan Eovaldi propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
19g58.8%Over: 10-7-2
3vs O 2.5+125
vs
Tigers7/2
Tigers7/2✓✗✓P✓✓✓✓✓✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 54.5%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
11(61%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Eovaldi's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 36.4%(4-7) | 50%(5-5) | 27.3%(3-8) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 100%(3-0) | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Framber Valdez
7/2Current Tigers hitters have struck out 30.8% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Eovaldi over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Patrick Corbin
6/26Pitchers with similar repertoires to Eovaldi have an ERA of 4.74 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
★★★★★vs Wandy Peralta
6/21Current Padres hitters have struck out 26.6% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Eovaldi over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
14-9-4 Over19g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 6/26 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 6/21 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 6/21 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 6/20 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +130 |
| 6/20 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -175 |
| 6/14 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -130 |
| 6/9 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 6/2 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 6/2 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -185 |
| 5/28 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -152 |
| 5/23 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 5/23 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -162 |
| 5/17 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/17 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -171 |
| 5/11 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +120 |
| 5/11 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -167 |
| 5/6 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 5/6 | @Yankees | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 4/29 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 4/24 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +109 |
| 4/18 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/18 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -170 |
| 4/13 | @Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +108 |
| 4/7 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +102 |
| 4/1 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 3/26 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +109 |
Texas Rangers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathan Eovaldi hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Nathan Eovaldi hits the over on earned runs 2.5 56.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-7-2 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Nathan Eovaldi over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Eovaldi over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$360 (+18.95% ROI). The hit rate is 56.3% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Nathan Eovaldi's earned runs average this season?
Nathan Eovaldi averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge