Inside Edge
New York Mets61.9% SO O 0.547.8% HRR O 0.534.8% H O 0.5
Season
All MJ Melendez propsProps — 202624 games with closing lines
Home Runs
24g8.7%Over: 2-21-1
0vs O 0.5+475
@
Marlins5/22
Marlins5/22✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 10%(10)A: 7.1%(14)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Melendez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 22.2%(2-7) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 12.5%(1-7) | 0%(0-8) | 12.5%(1-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Eury Perez
5/22Melendez is batting just .155 (11-for-71) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
5/21Melendez is batting just .207 (24-for-116) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Zack Littell
5/20Littell has allowed an OPS of .884 against hitters like Melendez over the last two years, but Melendez is batting just .200 (26-for-130) against right-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-45-2 Over24g · 49 props
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does MJ Melendez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
MJ Melendez hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.7% of the time in 2026, going 2-21-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is MJ Melendez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 24 games in 2026, betting $100 on MJ Melendez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,070 (-44.58% ROI). The hit rate is 8.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is MJ Melendez's home runs average this season?
MJ Melendez averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 24 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.