Inside Edge
Colorado Rockies50.6% H O 0.533.8% 1B O 0.530.1% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Michael Toglia propsProps — 202581 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
81g23.5%Over: 19-62
0vs O 0.5+211
@
Padres9/11
Padres9/11✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 26.3%(38)A: 20.9%(43)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
103Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Toglia's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 36.4%(4-7) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 69.2%(9-4) | 53.8%(7-6) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.1%(8-13) | 9.5%(2-19) | 4.8%(1-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 51.5%(17-16) | 15.2%(5-28) | 15.2%(5-28) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs JP Sears
9/12Toglia is batting just .220 (20-for-91) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Sears over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Randy Vasquez
9/11Toglia is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Vasquez over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Blake Snell
9/10Toglia is batting just .182 (12-for-66) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Snell over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-157 Over81g · 177 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/11 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +211 |
| 9/11 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 9/9 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 9/9 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 7/29 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +165 |
| 7/29 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1500 |
| 7/25 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 7/25 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/22 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 7/22 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +110 |
| 7/22 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 7/20 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/20 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 7/19 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/19 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 7/18 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 7/18 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/18 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4600 |
| 7/13 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/13 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 7/12 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/12 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 7/11 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 7/11 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 7/9 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/9 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/8 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/8 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 7/7 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 7/7 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/6 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 7/6 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -105 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4400 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +100 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +700 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 7/2 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 6/29 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/29 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 6/28 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 6/28 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4400 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Toglia hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Michael Toglia hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.5% of the time in 2025, going 19-62 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Michael Toglia over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 81 games in 2025, betting $100 on Michael Toglia over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$3,755 (-46.36% ROI). The hit rate is 23.5% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Michael Toglia's runs scored average this season?
Michael Toglia averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2025 across 81 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.