Inside Edge
Colorado Rockies50.6% H O 0.533.8% 1B O 0.530.1% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Michael Toglia propsProps — 202581 games with closing lines
Home Runs
81g12.3%Over: 10-71
0vs O 0.5+650
@
Padres9/11
Padres9/11✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 13.2%(38)A: 11.6%(43)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
103Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Toglia's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 36.4%(4-7) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 69.2%(9-4) | 53.8%(7-6) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.1%(8-13) | 9.5%(2-19) | 4.8%(1-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 51.5%(17-16) | 15.2%(5-28) | 15.2%(5-28) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs JP Sears
9/12Toglia is batting just .220 (20-for-91) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Sears over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Randy Vasquez
9/11Toglia is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Vasquez over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Blake Snell
9/10Toglia is batting just .182 (12-for-66) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Snell over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-145 Over81g · 156 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/11 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/11 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/9 | @ Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/9 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 7/29 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +630 |
| 7/29 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +9500 |
| 7/25 | @ Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4700 |
| 7/25 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 7/22 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/22 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 7/20 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +460 |
| 7/20 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 7/19 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 7/19 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/18 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 7/18 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/13 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/13 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +420 |
| 7/12 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4700 |
| 7/12 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +400 |
| 7/11 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/11 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 7/9 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/9 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 7/8 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 7/8 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 7/7 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 7/7 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/6 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +440 |
| 7/6 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3600 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +400 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 7/2 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 7/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 6/29 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/29 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 6/28 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 6/28 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +420 |
| 6/25 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 6/25 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9500 |
| 6/24 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/24 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Toglia hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Michael Toglia hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.3% of the time in 2025, going 10-71 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Michael Toglia over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 81 games in 2025, betting $100 on Michael Toglia over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$2,120 (-26.17% ROI). The hit rate is 12.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Michael Toglia's home runs average this season?
Michael Toglia averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 81 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.