St. Louis Cardinals82.4% K O 1.561.5% OUT O 16.541.2% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Michael McGreevy propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g29.4%Over: 5-12-1
2vs O 2.5-141
@
Braves7/1
Braves7/1✗✗P✓✗✗✗✓✓✗
H: 12.5%(8)A: 44.4%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How McGreevy's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 42.9%(3-4) | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Reynaldo López
7/1Current Braves hitters are batting .242 in their last 1,997 AB's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like McGreevy, but other matchup data favors the Braves.
★★★★★vs Max Meyer
6/26Current Marlins hitters are batting .280 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like McGreevy over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
6/25Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.54 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-12-1 Over18g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/1 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -141 |
| 6/26 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 6/25 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +105 |
| 6/19 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -118 |
| 6/14 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -119 |
| 6/7 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -109 |
| 6/1 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +118 |
| 5/26 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/20 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -173 |
| 5/20 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +121 |
| 5/14 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 5/8 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -104 |
| 5/2 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -113 |
| 4/26 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 4/20 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -126 |
| 4/14 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 4/8 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +106 |
| 4/3 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -105 |
| 3/28 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -124 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael McGreevy hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Michael McGreevy hits the over on earned runs 2.5 31.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-11-1 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Michael McGreevy over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael McGreevy over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$728 (-40.44% ROI). The hit rate is 31.3% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Michael McGreevy's earned runs average this season?
Michael McGreevy averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge