Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs52.9% SO O 0.552.9% BB O 0.552.6% H O 0.5
Season
All Michael Conforto propsProps — 202621 games with closing lines
Home Runs
19g11.1%Over: 2-16-1
0vs O 0.5+730
vs
Brewers5/19
Brewers5/19✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓P
H: 12.5%(8)A: 9.1%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
9(18%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Conforto's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Conforto is batting just .195 (31-for-159) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Conforto has a wOBA of just .245 in his last 35 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Harrison over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Conforto is batting just .178 (8-for-45) against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Misiorowski over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-36-2 Over19g · 40 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +458 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/17 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +475 |
| 5/17 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +434 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4600 |
| 5/13 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +544 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6300 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/9 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5100 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +454 |
| 5/7 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 5/7 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +525 |
| 5/2 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +586 |
| 5/2 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6700 |
| 4/29 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 4/29 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9300 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 4/11 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/11 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/8 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +670 |
| 4/8 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/7 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/7 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/7 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/5 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/5 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 3/30 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 3/30 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 3/29 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 3/29 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 3/26 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 3/26 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Conforto hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Michael Conforto hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.1% of the time in 2026, going 2-16-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Michael Conforto over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Conforto over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$600 (-31.58% ROI). The hit rate is 11.1% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Michael Conforto's home runs average this season?
Michael Conforto averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.