Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs72.9% SO O 0.566% HRR O 0.557.1% H O 0.5
Season
All Michael Busch propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
50g34.7%Over: 17-32-1
0vs O 0.5+188
vs
Brewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 42.3%(26)A: 26.1%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
18(36%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Busch's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 0%(0-17) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(8-10) | 11.1%(2-16) | 38.9%(7-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 14.3%(1-6) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 14.3%(1-6) | 28.6%(2-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Busch is slugging .633 in his last 60 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Arrighetti over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .466 against top-tier hitters like Busch over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Busch has an OPS of 1.167 in 18 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-117-3 Over49g · 140 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +188 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -138 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/17 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -112 |
| 5/17 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 5/17 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3000 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +650 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +4000 |
| 5/14 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/10 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/10 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 5/10 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +120 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +850 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/7 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -104 |
| 5/7 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/7 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +123 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +138 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -134 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +460 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/3 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +460 |
| 5/3 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -125 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Busch hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Michael Busch hits the over on runs scored 0.5 34.7% of the time in 2026, going 17-32-1 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Michael Busch over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Busch over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,228 (-24.56% ROI). The hit rate is 34.7% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Michael Busch's runs scored average this season?
Michael Busch averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.