
72.9% SO O 0.566% HRR O 0.557.1% H O 0.5
Season
All Michael Busch propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g8.2%Over: 4-45-1
0vs O 0.5+900
vs
Brewers5/20
✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 11.5%(26)A: 4.3%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
18(36%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Busch's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 0%(0-17) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(8-10) | 11.1%(2-16) | 38.9%(7-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 14.3%(1-6) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 14.3%(1-6) | 28.6%(2-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Busch is slugging .633 in his last 60 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Arrighetti over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .466 against top-tier hitters like Busch over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Busch has an OPS of 1.167 in 18 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-102-3 Over49g · 109 props
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Busch hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Michael Busch hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.2% of the time in 2026, going 4-45-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Michael Busch over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Busch over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,893 (-37.86% ROI). The hit rate is 8.2% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Michael Busch's home runs average this season?
Michael Busch averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge