Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays55.3% H O 0.555.3% TB O 0.543.8% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Matt Thaiss propsProps — 202548 games with closing lines
Walks
40g37.5%Over: 15-25
0vs O 0.5+165
@
Yankees7/30
Yankees7/30✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 43.8%(16)A: 33.3%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
112Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Thaiss's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(6-8) | 7.1%(1-13) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.6%(17-12) | 0%(0-29) | 20.7%(6-23) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Clayton Kershaw
8/1Left-handed batters with low ISOs like Thaiss have a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% against Kershaw over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20%.
★★★★★vs Marcus Stroman
7/31Thaiss is batting just .203 (16-for-79) against right-handers with high groundball rates like Stroman over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/30Thaiss is batting just .192 in his last 26 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-25 Over40g · 40 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/28 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 7/27 | @ Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 7/19 | vs Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 7/10 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 6/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 6/22 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 6/20 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 6/17 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 6/14 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 6/11 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 6/1 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 5/29 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 5/24 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 5/21 | vs Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/19 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +135 |
| 5/16 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/15 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/11 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 5/9 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 5/7 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 5/6 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +175 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 4/30 | vs Brewers | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +135 |
| 4/27 | @ Athletics | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 4/25 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +155 |
| 4/23 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 4/20 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 4/18 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/15 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +225 |
| 4/13 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +245 |
| 4/10 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 4/8 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +135 |
| 4/6 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/4 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 4/2 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 3/30 | vs Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +165 |
| 3/29 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +150 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Thaiss hit the over on walks 0.5?
Matt Thaiss hits the over on walks 0.5 37.5% of the time in 2025, going 15-25 with an average actual of 0.6.
Is Matt Thaiss over 0.5 walks a good bet?
Based on 40 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Thaiss over 0.5 walks at best closing odds has returned -$370 (-9.25% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 0.6.
What is Matt Thaiss's walks average this season?
Matt Thaiss averages 0.6 walks per game in 2025 across 40 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.