Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays55.3% H O 0.555.3% TB O 0.543.8% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Matt Thaiss propsProps — 202548 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
47g23.4%Over: 11-36
0vs O 0.5+175
@
Yankees7/30
Yankees7/30✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 25%(20)A: 22.2%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
112Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Thaiss's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(6-8) | 7.1%(1-13) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.6%(17-12) | 0%(0-29) | 20.7%(6-23) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Clayton Kershaw
8/1Left-handed batters with low ISOs like Thaiss have a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% against Kershaw over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20%.
★★★★★vs Marcus Stroman
7/31Thaiss is batting just .203 (16-for-79) against right-handers with high groundball rates like Stroman over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/30Thaiss is batting just .192 in his last 26 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-79 Over47g · 92 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/30 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 7/28 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/28 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/27 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/27 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/19 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 7/19 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 7/13 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/13 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/10 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/10 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/8 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 7/6 | @ Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/6 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +220 |
| 7/2 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/28 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 6/26 | @ Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 6/26 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/26 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 6/22 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/22 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 6/20 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1700 |
| 6/20 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +195 |
| 6/17 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 6/17 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/14 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +210 |
| 6/11 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 6/11 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 6/8 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/8 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 6/6 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 6/6 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 6/4 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/4 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 6/1 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 6/1 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/29 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/29 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 5/24 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 5/24 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +195 |
| 5/21 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 5/21 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 5/19 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/19 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 5/16 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3400 |
| 5/16 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Thaiss hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Thaiss hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.4% of the time in 2025, going 11-36 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Matt Thaiss over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 47 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Thaiss over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,595 (-33.94% ROI). The hit rate is 23.4% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Matt Thaiss's runs scored average this season?
Matt Thaiss averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2025 across 47 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.