Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays55.3% H O 0.555.3% TB O 0.543.8% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Matt Thaiss propsProps — 202548 games with closing lines
Home Runs
47g2.1%Over: 1-46
0vs O 0.5+830
@
Yankees7/30
Yankees7/30✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(20)A: 3.7%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
112Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Thaiss's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(6-8) | 7.1%(1-13) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.6%(17-12) | 0%(0-29) | 20.7%(6-23) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Clayton Kershaw
8/1Left-handed batters with low ISOs like Thaiss have a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% against Kershaw over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20%.
★★★★★vs Marcus Stroman
7/31Thaiss is batting just .203 (16-for-79) against right-handers with high groundball rates like Stroman over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/30Thaiss is batting just .192 in his last 26 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-81 Over47g · 82 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 7/30 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 7/28 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 7/27 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 7/27 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/19 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 7/19 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/13 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/10 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 7/8 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 7/6 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/6 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +16000 |
| 7/2 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 6/28 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 6/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/26 | @ Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 6/26 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 6/22 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 6/20 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 6/20 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 6/17 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/17 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 6/14 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/14 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 6/11 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 6/11 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/8 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +675 |
| 6/8 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9500 |
| 6/6 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/6 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 6/4 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 6/4 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 6/1 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/29 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 5/29 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 5/24 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/24 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +18000 |
| 5/21 | vs Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +560 |
| 5/19 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +560 |
| 5/19 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 5/16 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/16 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/15 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8500 |
| 5/15 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 5/11 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 5/11 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 5/9 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/9 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Thaiss hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Thaiss hits the over on home runs 0.5 2.1% of the time in 2025, going 1-46 with an average actual of 0.
Is Matt Thaiss over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 47 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matt Thaiss over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,800 (-80.85% ROI). The hit rate is 2.1% with an average actual of 0.
What is Matt Thaiss's home runs average this season?
Matt Thaiss averages 0 home runs per game in 2025 across 47 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.