Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds61.7% HRR O 0.550% TB O 0.548.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Matt McLain propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g6.4%Over: 3-44-3
0vs O 0.5+700
@
Phillies5/20
Phillies5/20✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗
H: 4.2%(24)A: 7.7%(26)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How McLain's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 10%(1-9) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 52%(13-12) | 8%(2-23) | 28%(7-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(4-8) | 0%(0-12) | 0%(0-12) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22McLain is batting just .062 (2-for-32) against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Leahy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
5/20Today, McLain is favored in some matchup categories but is batting just .213 (23-for-108) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Nola.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/19McLain is slugging .556 in his last 45 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-96-6 Over50g · 105 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +690 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/17 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1080 |
| 5/17 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +930 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +15000 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +920 |
| 5/14 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +780 |
| 5/13 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/13 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/10 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/10 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +770 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/7 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +690 |
| 5/7 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1300 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +7000 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +594 |
| 5/3 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/30 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 4/30 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +494 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 4/26 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/26 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 4/24 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt McLain hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt McLain hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.4% of the time in 2026, going 3-44-3 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Matt McLain over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matt McLain over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,400 (-28% ROI). The hit rate is 6.4% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Matt McLain's home runs average this season?
Matt McLain averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.