Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

San Francisco GiantsPosition Player2026
Reg0.234 / 1 HR / 16 RBI / 44 H / 0 SB / 50G
67.3% SO O 0.566% HRR O 0.561.2% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Matt Chapman goes over 0.5 strikeouts 67.3% of the time (33-16-3)

Props — 202652 games with closing lines

Hits

52g
avg 0.7
61.2%Over: 30-19-3
2vs O 0.5-175
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 58.3%(24)A: 55.6%(27)

RBIs

52g
avg 0.1
26.5%Over: 13-36-3
0vs O 0.5+180
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 25%(24)A: 25.9%(27)
avg 0
2%Over: 1-49-2
0vs O 0.5+730
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 0%(24)A: 3.7%(27)
avg 0.4
42.9%Over: 21-28-3
2vs O 0.5+120
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 37.5%(24)A: 40.7%(27)
avg 0.5
30.6%Over: 15-34-3
1vs O 0.5-106
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 37.5%(24)A: 18.5%(27)
avg 0
0%Over: 0-49-3
0vs O 0.5+875
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 0%(24)A: 0%(27)
avg 1
36%Over: 18-32-2
3vs O 1.5+160
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 33.3%(24)A: 33.3%(27)
avg 1.2
67.3%Over: 33-16-3
1vs O 0.5-184
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 62.5%(24)A: 63%(27)
avg 0.3
24%Over: 12-38-2
1vs O 0.5+470
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 29.2%(24)A: 14.8%(27)
avg 1.2
66%Over: 33-17-2
4vs O 0.5-275
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 66.7%(24)A: 59.3%(27)
avg 0.3
48%Over: 24-26-2
1vs O 0.5+105
vsWhite Sox5/23
H: 45.8%(24)A: 44.4%(27)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3
5-Star Games
10(20%)
Total Matchups
51
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Chapman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
72.7%(8-3)27.3%(3-8)9.1%(1-10)
83.3%(10-2)33.3%(4-8)0%(0-12)
71.4%(5-2)42.9%(3-4)0%(0-7)
12.5%(1-7)0%(0-8)0%(0-8)
41.7%(5-7)16.7%(2-10)0%(0-12)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Noah Schultz
5/24

Schultz has allowed a slugging percentage of .481 against hitters like Chapman over the last two years, but Chapman is batting just .222 (18-for-81) against left-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.

vs Bryan Hudson
5/23

Chapman is batting just .228 in his last 189 AB's this season.

vs Davis Martin
5/22

Chapman is batting .327 (48-for-147) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Martin over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
334-1264-74 Over1672 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/23vsWhite SoxDoublesO 0.51W+470
5/23vsWhite SoxHitsO 2.52L+2200
5/23vsWhite SoxHitsO 1.52W+350
5/23vsWhite SoxHitsO 3.52L+15000
5/23vsWhite SoxHitsO 0.52W-175
5/23vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.54W-275
5/23vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.54W+195
5/23vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.54W-110
5/23vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 1.50L+9300
5/23vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.54W+400
5/23vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 0.50L+730
5/23vsWhite SoxRBIsO 0.50L+180
5/23vsWhite SoxRBIsO 1.50L+550
5/23vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 0.52W+120
5/23vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 1.52W+900
5/23vsWhite SoxSinglesO 0.51W+105
5/23vsWhite SoxStolen BasesO 0.50L+875
5/23vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 2.53W+350
5/23vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 3.53L+501
5/23vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 4.53L+1200
5/23vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 1.53W+160
5/23vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.54L+650
5/23vsWhite SoxSinglesO 1.51L+495
5/23vsWhite SoxWalksO 1.51L+591
5/23vsWhite SoxWalksO 0.51W-106
5/23vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 1.51L+334
5/23vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 0.51W-184
5/23vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 2.51L+1240
5/23vsWhite SoxStolen BasesO 1.50L+10000
5/23vsWhite SoxRBIsO 3.50L+4000
5/23vsWhite SoxRBIsO 4.50L+5000
5/23vsWhite SoxRBIsO 2.50L+1600
5/23vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 2.52L+6000
5/23vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 0.53W-185
5/22vsWhite SoxDoublesO 0.51W+550
5/22vsWhite SoxHitsO 1.51L+480
5/22vsWhite SoxHitsO 0.51W-135
5/22vsWhite SoxHitsO 2.51L+3000
5/22vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.52L+260
5/22vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W+125
5/22vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.52L+500
5/22vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
5/22vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.52W-200
5/22vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 0.50L+775
5/22vsWhite SoxRBIsO 1.50L+775
5/22vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 0.51W+155
5/22vsWhite SoxRBIsO 0.50L+240
5/22vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1100
5/22vsWhite SoxSinglesO 0.50L+135
5/22vsWhite SoxStolen BasesO 0.50L+1200

San Francisco Giants Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on hits 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on hits 0.5 61.2% of the time in 2026, going 30-19-3 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$200.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.5% of the time in 2026, going 13-36-3 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,007.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on home runs 0.5 2% of the time in 2026, going 1-49-2 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$4,411.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on runs scored 0.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 21-28-3 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$32.
How often does Matt Chapman hit the over on walks 0.5?
Matt Chapman hits the over on walks 0.5 30.6% of the time in 2026, going 15-34-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,330.
What are Matt Chapman's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Chapman's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 67.3% (33-16); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 66% (33-17); Hits O 0.5 at 61.2% (30-19).

Matt Chapman 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.52 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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