Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves85.7% K O 1.580% BBA O 1.542.9% HA O 4.5
Season
All Martin Perez propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
7g42.9%Over: 3-4
5vs O 4.5-125
@
Marlins5/19
Marlins5/19✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 0%(2)A: 60%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(13%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Perez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Braxton Garrett
5/19Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.76 against the Marlins since last season.
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
5/6Current Mariners hitters have struck out 23.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Perez over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
4/28Tigers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Perez.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-7 Over7g · 10 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 4/28 | vs Tigers | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 4/28 | vsTigers | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 4/22 | @ Nationals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 4/22 | @Nationals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -275 |
| 4/17 | @ Phillies | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -112 |
| 4/17 | @Phillies | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -200 |
| 4/11 | vs Guardians | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 4/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -111 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Martin Perez hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Martin Perez hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.7.
Is Martin Perez over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Martin Perez over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$130 (-18.57% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 3.7.
What is Martin Perez's hits allowed average this season?
Martin Perez averages 3.7 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.