Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves85.7% K O 1.580% BBA O 1.542.9% HA O 4.5
Season
All Martin Perez propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g28.6%Over: 2-5
4vs O 2.5+125
@
Marlins5/19
Marlins5/19✓✗✗✗✗✗✓
H: 0%(2)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(13%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Perez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Braxton Garrett
5/19Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.76 against the Marlins since last season.
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
5/6Current Mariners hitters have struck out 23.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Perez over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
4/28Tigers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Perez.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-6 Over7g · 9 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Martin Perez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Martin Perez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Martin Perez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Martin Perez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$255 (-36.43% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Martin Perez's earned runs average this season?
Martin Perez averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.