Atlanta Braves84.6% BBA O 1.580% K O 1.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Martin Perez propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g40%Over: 6-9-2
4vs O 2.5-120
vs
Mets7/5
Mets7/5✓✓✓✗P✗P✓✗✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 33.3%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Perez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Perez.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
6/30Cardinals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Perez.
★★★★★vs JP Sears
6/24Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.72 against the Padres in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-11-3 Over17g · 23 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -120 |
| 6/30 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 6/24 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 6/24 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -176 |
| 6/19 | vs Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -172 |
| 6/18 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -148 |
| 6/18 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +115 |
| 6/13 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +117 |
| 6/11 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +120 |
| 6/5 | vs Pirates | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 6/5 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 5/30 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 5/24 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -138 |
| 5/19 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -166 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/28 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +101 |
| 4/22 | @Nationals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -112 |
| 4/17 | @ Phillies | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +116 |
| 4/17 | @Phillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -164 |
| 4/11 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +114 |
| 4/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +120 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Martin Perez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Martin Perez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8-2 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Martin Perez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Martin Perez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$130 (-7.65% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Martin Perez's earned runs average this season?
Martin Perez averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge