Inside Edge
LO
Cleveland Guardians66.7% HA O 4.566.7% BBA O 1.562.5% K O 4.5
Season
All Luis Ortiz propsProps — 202516 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g50%Over: 8-8
4vs O 2.5-110
vs
Cardinals6/27
Cardinals6/27✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✗✓
H: 42.9%(7)A: 55.6%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(13%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ortiz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 80%(4-1) | 80%(4-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
6/27Cardinals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Ortiz.
★★★★★
6/15Current Mariners hitters are batting .231 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ortiz over the last two years.
★★★★★
6/9Current Reds hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ortiz over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-8 Over16g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/27 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -110 |
| 6/21 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 6/15 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 6/9 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 6/4 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
| 5/30 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 5/24 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -115 |
| 5/18 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 5/11 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 5/6 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -105 |
| 4/30 | vs Twins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 4/23 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 4/18 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 4/12 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 4/6 | @Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +100 |
| 3/31 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +110 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Luis Ortiz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luis Ortiz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 8-8 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Luis Ortiz over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2025, betting $100 on Luis Ortiz over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$30 (-1.87% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Luis Ortiz's earned runs average this season?
Luis Ortiz averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2025 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.