Kansas City Royals80% BBA O 2.571.4% K O 3.566.7% OUT O 14.5
Props — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g37.5%Over: 3-5
1vs O 2.5-128
vs
Phillies7/5
Phillies7/5✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 20%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(6%)
Total Matchups
36Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Avila's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | — | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
7/5Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .254 against the Phillies over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
6/28Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .252 against the White Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Shane McClanahan
6/23Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .273 against the Rays over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-7 Over8g · 11 props
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Luinder Avila hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Luinder Avila hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Luinder Avila over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Luinder Avila over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$178 (-22.25% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Luinder Avila's earned runs average this season?
Luinder Avila averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge