
61.3% H O 0.547.6% HRR O 1.547.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Lars Nootbaar propsProps — 2025124 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
124g43.5%Over: 54-70
0vs O 0.5-115
@
Cubs9/27
✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✗
H: 51.6%(62)A: 35.5%(62)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
24(16%)
Total Matchups
149Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nootbaar's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 78.3%(18-5) | 30.4%(7-16) | 13%(3-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.5%(20-23) | 25.6%(11-32) | 9.3%(4-39) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(14-7) | 28.6%(6-15) | 9.5%(2-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(18-4) | 36.4%(8-14) | 13.6%(3-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 35.7%(5-9) | 7.1%(1-13) | 7.1%(1-13) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
9/28Nootbaar has a wOBA of .321 with 6 HR's in his last 119 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Assad over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jameson Taillon
9/27Nootbaar has taken Taillon deep 2 times in his last 15 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
9/26Nootbaar has an OPS of .958 in 57 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Assad over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
64-246 Over124g · 310 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 9/27 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 9/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 9/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 9/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 9/26 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 9/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 9/24 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 9/23 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 9/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +176 |
| 9/22 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +700 |
| 9/22 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 9/22 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +107 |
| 9/21 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 9/21 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 9/19 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 9/19 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 9/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 9/17 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3000 |
| 9/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -105 |
| 9/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 9/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 9/15 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 9/15 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 9/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +128 |
| 9/14 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 9/14 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 9/13 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 9/13 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 9/12 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 9/12 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 9/10 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +146 |
| 9/10 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 9/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 9/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 9/8 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 9/8 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -105 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 9/6 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/6 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 9/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 9/5 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 9/5 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 9/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +850 |
| 9/3 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 9/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 9/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Lars Nootbaar hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Lars Nootbaar hits the over on runs scored 0.5 43.5% of the time in 2025, going 54-70 with an average actual of 0.5.
Is Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 124 games in 2025, betting $100 on Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,143 (-9.22% ROI). The hit rate is 43.5% with an average actual of 0.5.
What is Lars Nootbaar's runs scored average this season?
Lars Nootbaar averages 0.5 runs scored per game in 2025 across 124 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge