
61.3% H O 0.547.6% HRR O 1.547.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Lars Nootbaar propsProps — 2025124 games with closing lines
Home Runs
124g10.5%Over: 13-111
0vs O 0.5+400
@
Cubs9/27
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 11.3%(62)A: 9.7%(62)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
24(16%)
Total Matchups
149Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nootbaar's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 78.3%(18-5) | 30.4%(7-16) | 13%(3-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.5%(20-23) | 25.6%(11-32) | 9.3%(4-39) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(14-7) | 28.6%(6-15) | 9.5%(2-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(18-4) | 36.4%(8-14) | 13.6%(3-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 35.7%(5-9) | 7.1%(1-13) | 7.1%(1-13) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
9/28Nootbaar has a wOBA of .321 with 6 HR's in his last 119 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Assad over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jameson Taillon
9/27Nootbaar has taken Taillon deep 2 times in his last 15 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
9/26Nootbaar has an OPS of .958 in 57 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Assad over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-227 Over124g · 240 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 9/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +400 |
| 9/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 9/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 9/24 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 9/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 9/23 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 9/22 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/22 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 9/21 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 9/21 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 9/19 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 9/19 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 9/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 9/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 9/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/15 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 9/15 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 9/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +675 |
| 9/14 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/13 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 9/13 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 9/12 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/12 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 9/10 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 9/10 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 9/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 9/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/8 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 9/8 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 9/6 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 9/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 9/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 9/5 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 9/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +560 |
| 9/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 9/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 9/2 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 9/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 9/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +360 |
| 8/30 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 8/30 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 8/29 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 8/29 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +320 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Lars Nootbaar hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Lars Nootbaar hits the over on home runs 0.5 10.5% of the time in 2025, going 13-111 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 124 games in 2025, betting $100 on Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,310 (-26.69% ROI). The hit rate is 10.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Lars Nootbaar's home runs average this season?
Lars Nootbaar averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 124 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge