
69.2% HRR O 0.568% SO O 0.561.5% H O 0.5
Season
All Lars Nootbaar propsProps — 202629 games with closing lines
Home Runs
28g7.7%Over: 2-24-2
0vs O 0.5+800
vs
Brewers7/7
✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗
H: 6.7%(15)A: 7.7%(13)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(13%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nootbaar's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 0%(0-8) | 0%(0-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 77.8%(7-2) | 22.2%(2-7) | 44.4%(4-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Harrison has allowed a batting avg of of .312 (5-for-16) against hitters like Nootbaar over the last two years, but Harrison has allowed a batting avg of just of .208 (40-for-192) against bottom-tier hitters like Nootbaar over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Bottom-tier hitters like Nootbaar are batting just .161 (29-for-180) against Misiorowski over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Drohan
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Drohan.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-64-6 Over28g · 72 props
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Lars Nootbaar hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Lars Nootbaar hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.7% of the time in 2026, going 2-24-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2026, betting $100 on Lars Nootbaar over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,248 (-44.57% ROI). The hit rate is 7.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Lars Nootbaar's home runs average this season?
Lars Nootbaar averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge