Inside Edge
St. Louis Cardinals77.8% BBA O 1.555.6% K O 2.544.4% ER O 2.5
Props — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g44.4%Over: 4-5
1vs O 2.5-131
vs
Royals5/16
Royals5/16✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 25%(4)A: 60%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Leahy's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chris Paddack
5/22Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Leahy.
★★★★★
5/16Current Royals hitters are batting .237 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Leahy over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
5/10Not enough matchup data.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-5 Over9g · 9 props
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kyle Leahy hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Kyle Leahy hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Kyle Leahy over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kyle Leahy over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$105 (-11.67% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Kyle Leahy's earned runs average this season?
Kyle Leahy averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.