Inside Edge
Kansas City Royals100% K O 2.585.7% BBA O 1.557.1% ER O 1.5
Season
All Kris Bubic propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g55.6%Over: 5-4
5vs O 1.5-176
@
White Sox5/14
White Sox5/14✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 50%(4)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(22%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bubic's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 75%(3-1) | 40%(2-3) | 100%(4-0) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
5/14Current White Sox hitters are batting .227 against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Bubic over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
5/8Current Tigers hitters have struck out 24% of the time against pitchers similar to Bubic over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
5/3Current Mariners hitters are batting .247 against left-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like like Bubic over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-6 Over9g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +131 |
| 5/14 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -176 |
| 5/8 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -168 |
| 5/8 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 5/3 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/3 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 4/28 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 4/21 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 4/16 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -164 |
| 4/10 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -113 |
| 4/5 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -144 |
| 3/30 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 3/30 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +121 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kris Bubic hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Kris Bubic hits the over on earned runs 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Kris Bubic over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kris Bubic over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$28 (-3.11% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Kris Bubic's earned runs average this season?
Kris Bubic averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.