Inside Edge
New York Mets100% ER O 1.575% HA O 4.550% K O 3.5
Season
All Kodai Senga propsProps — 20266 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
5g75%Over: 3-1-1
0vs O 3.5-172
vs
Rockies4/26
Rockies4/26P✓✓✓✗
H: 100%(1)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(20%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Senga's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Quintana
4/26Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.41 against the Rockies since last season, but other matchup data favors the Rockies.
★★★★★
4/17Right-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Senga have an ERA of 3.90 against the Cubs since last year.
★★★★★
4/11Pitchers with similar repertoires to Senga have an ERA of 5.41 against the Athletics over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-1-1 Over5g · 8 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/26 | vsRockies | O 3.5 | 0 | P | -172 |
| 4/17 | @ Cubs | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +123 |
| 4/17 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 4/11 | vs Athletics | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +128 |
| 4/11 | vsAthletics | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -155 |
| 4/5 | @ Giants | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +105 |
| 3/31 | @ Cardinals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +109 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -175 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kodai Senga hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Kodai Senga hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 3-1 with an average actual of 5.8.
Is Kodai Senga over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kodai Senga over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$209 (+41.8% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 5.8.
What is Kodai Senga's hits allowed average this season?
Kodai Senga averages 5.8 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.