Inside Edge
New York Mets100% ER O 1.575% HA O 4.550% K O 3.5
Season
All Kodai Senga propsProps — 20266 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
5g100%Over: 4-0-1
0vs O 1.5-119
vs
Rockies4/26
Rockies4/26P✓✓✓✓
H: 50%(2)A: 100%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(20%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Senga's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Quintana
4/26Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.41 against the Rockies since last season, but other matchup data favors the Rockies.
★★★★★
4/17Right-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Senga have an ERA of 3.90 against the Cubs since last year.
★★★★★
4/11Pitchers with similar repertoires to Senga have an ERA of 5.41 against the Athletics over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-1-1 Over5g · 6 props
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kodai Senga hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Kodai Senga hits the over on earned runs 1.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 3-0-1 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Kodai Senga over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kodai Senga over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$283 (+56.6% ROI). The hit rate is 100% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Kodai Senga's earned runs average this season?
Kodai Senga averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.