Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays62.5% HA O 4.550% ER O 2.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Kevin Gausman propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g40%Over: 4-6
0vs O 2.5-113
@
Tigers5/17
Tigers5/17✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(73%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gausman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 33.3%(2-4) | 66.7%(4-2) | 28.6%(2-5) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
5/22Current Pirates hitters have struck out 27.8% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Gausman over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/17Current Tigers hitters have struck out 30.7% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Gausman over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
5/11Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.31 against the Rays in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Rays.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-6 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -113 |
| 5/11 | vs Rays | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 5/5 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/30 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +124 |
| 4/25 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 4/25 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -169 |
| 4/19 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 4/14 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 4/14 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +131 |
| 4/7 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +105 |
| 4/1 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 3/27 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -164 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kevin Gausman hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Kevin Gausman hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Kevin Gausman over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kevin Gausman over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$120 (-12% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Kevin Gausman's earned runs average this season?
Kevin Gausman averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.