
85.7% K O 1.575% OUT O 15.558.3% ER O 2.5
Season
All Keider Montero propsProps — 202615 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
14g53.8%Over: 7-6-1
5vs O 4.5-175
vs
Astros6/26
✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✓
H: 50%(10)A: 50%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Montero's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(4-2) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(3-0) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
6/26Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.20 against the Astros in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
6/21White Sox hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Montero.
★★★★★vs Zebby Matthews
6/11Current Twins hitters have struck out 22.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Montero over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Twins.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-9-1 Over14g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/26 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +119 |
| 6/26 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -175 |
| 6/21 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 6/21 | vs | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +126 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -104 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -160 |
| 6/6 | vs | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 5/31 | @ | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -135 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +125 |
| 5/19 | vs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -145 |
| 5/8 | @ | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +101 |
| 5/2 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -118 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -124 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 4/10 | vs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 4/5 | vs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 4/5 | vs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -130 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Keider Montero hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Keider Montero hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5-1 with an average actual of 4.1.
Is Keider Montero over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Keider Montero over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$48 (-3.43% ROI). The hit rate is 54.5% with an average actual of 4.1.
What is Keider Montero's hits allowed average this season?
Keider Montero averages 4.1 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.

Inside Edge