Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves68.8% H O 0.559.2% HRR O 1.551.9% R O 0.5
Season
All Jurickson Profar propsProps — 202578 games with closing lines
Home Runs
78g15.6%Over: 12-65-1
0vs O 0.5+460
vs
Pirates9/28
Pirates9/28✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 20.5%(39)A: 10.3%(39)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
17(20%)
Total Matchups
83Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Profar's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(11-6) | 23.5%(4-13) | 5.9%(1-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 50%(8-8) | 18.8%(3-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 76.9%(10-3) | 38.5%(5-8) | 15.4%(2-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 70.8%(17-7) | 33.3%(8-16) | 12.5%(3-21) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Johan Oviedo
9/28Profar is slugging .455 against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last two years but has a well hit rate of 7.7% (League Avg: 20.1%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
9/27Profar has a wOBA of .372 in his last 255 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Chandler over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Mitch Keller
9/26Profar slugged .487 in 423 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
14-136-2 Over78g · 152 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jurickson Profar hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jurickson Profar hits the over on home runs 0.5 15.6% of the time in 2025, going 12-65-1 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Jurickson Profar over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 78 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jurickson Profar over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,260 (+16.15% ROI). The hit rate is 15.6% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Jurickson Profar's home runs average this season?
Jurickson Profar averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2025 across 78 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.