Seattle Mariners70.6% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.557.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Josh Naylor propsProps — 202692 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
92g29.4%Over: 25-60-7
1vs O 0.5+150
@
Marlins7/7
Marlins7/7✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✗
H: 23.4%(47)A: 31.1%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
13(14%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Naylor's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 7.7%(1-12) | 38.5%(5-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.2%(16-13) | 10.3%(3-26) | 20.7%(6-23) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 5.9%(1-16) | 23.5%(4-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 68.2%(15-7) | 4.5%(1-21) | 27.3%(6-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 70%(7-3) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Max Meyer
7/7Naylor has a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.2% in 16 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.1%.
★★★★★vs Trey Yesavage
7/5Naylor has a Well-Hit Rate of just 13.2% in 129 AB's against top tier right-handers like Yesavage over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Shane Bieber
7/4Naylor is batting just .215 (35-for-163) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Bieber over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
33-233-19 Over92g · 285 props
Seattle Mariners Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Josh Naylor hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Josh Naylor hits the over on runs scored 0.5 29.4% of the time in 2026, going 25-60-7 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Josh Naylor over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 92 games in 2026, betting $100 on Josh Naylor over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2,711 (-29.47% ROI). The hit rate is 29.4% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Josh Naylor's runs scored average this season?
Josh Naylor averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 92 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge