Inside Edge
Seattle Mariners66.7% HRR O 0.560.4% H O 0.554.2% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Josh Naylor propsProps — 202651 games with closing lines
Home Runs
51g8.3%Over: 4-44-3
0vs O 0.5+680
vs
White Sox5/20
White Sox5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 3.4%(29)A: 13.6%(22)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(8%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Naylor's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(6-3) | 11.1%(1-8) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.8%(7-6) | 7.7%(1-12) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.1%(11-7) | 5.6%(1-17) | 22.2%(4-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
5/22Naylor is slugging .551 in his last 78 PA's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Cameron over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
5/20Naylor is slugging .667 in his last 40 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
5/19Naylor has an OPS of .884 in his last 62 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-97-6 Over51g · 108 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 5/20 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/19 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 5/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/17 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/17 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +570 |
| 5/16 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/16 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +548 |
| 5/16 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/15 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/15 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +559 |
| 5/14 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 5/14 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5300 |
| 5/13 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +507 |
| 5/13 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/12 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/12 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/11 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6400 |
| 5/11 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +566 |
| 5/10 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/10 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +563 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/8 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +561 |
| 5/8 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 5/6 | vs Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/5 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/5 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/4 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/4 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/3 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 5/2 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +570 |
| 5/2 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/1 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 5/1 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/29 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 4/29 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 4/28 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +550 |
| 4/28 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6500 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/27 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/26 | @ Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +550 |
| 4/26 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6000 |
| 4/25 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 4/25 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/24 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +780 |
Seattle Mariners Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Josh Naylor hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Josh Naylor hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-44-3 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Josh Naylor over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 51 games in 2026, betting $100 on Josh Naylor over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,760 (-34.51% ROI). The hit rate is 8.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Josh Naylor's home runs average this season?
Josh Naylor averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 51 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.