Seattle Mariners70.6% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.557.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Josh Naylor propsProps — 202692 games with closing lines
Home Runs
92g8.2%Over: 7-78-7
0vs O 0.5+650
@
Marlins7/7
Marlins7/7✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.3%(47)A: 11.1%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
13(14%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Naylor's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 7.7%(1-12) | 38.5%(5-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.2%(16-13) | 10.3%(3-26) | 20.7%(6-23) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 5.9%(1-16) | 23.5%(4-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 68.2%(15-7) | 4.5%(1-21) | 27.3%(6-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 70%(7-3) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Max Meyer
7/7Naylor has a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.2% in 16 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.1%.
★★★★★vs Trey Yesavage
7/5Naylor has a Well-Hit Rate of just 13.2% in 129 AB's against top tier right-handers like Yesavage over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Shane Bieber
7/4Naylor is batting just .215 (35-for-163) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Bieber over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-185-14 Over92g · 207 props
Seattle Mariners Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Josh Naylor hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Josh Naylor hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-78-7 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Josh Naylor over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 92 games in 2026, betting $100 on Josh Naylor over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,458 (-37.59% ROI). The hit rate is 8.2% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Josh Naylor's home runs average this season?
Josh Naylor averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 92 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge