Inside Edge
Washington Nationals75% H O 0.575% 1B O 0.575% HRR O 0.5
Season
All Jorge Alfaro propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
8g25%Over: 2-6
0vs O 0.5+139
vs
White Sox9/27
White Sox9/27✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(3)A: 40%(5)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
20Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alfaro's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Smith
9/28Matchup data is limited but favors Smith.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
9/27Matchup data is limited but favors Burke.
★★★★★vs Yoendrys Gomez
9/26Matchup data is limited but favors Gomez.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-13 Over8g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +139 |
| 9/27 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 9/24 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 9/24 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 9/21 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +220 |
| 9/21 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1900 |
| 9/19 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +231 |
| 9/16 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 9/16 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 9/13 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 9/13 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 9/10 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 9/10 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 9/6 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 9/6 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jorge Alfaro hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jorge Alfaro hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 2-6 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Jorge Alfaro over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jorge Alfaro over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$149 (-18.62% ROI). The hit rate is 25% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Jorge Alfaro's runs scored average this season?
Jorge Alfaro averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.