Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays80% SO O 0.572.3% HRR O 0.559.6% H O 0.5
Season
All Jonathan Aranda propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
49g48.9%Over: 23-24-2
1vs O 0.5+120
vs
Orioles5/20
Orioles5/20✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 50%(24)A: 44%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
30(61%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Aranda's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 62.1%(18-11) | 10.3%(3-26) | 51.7%(15-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.5%(5-8) | 15.4%(2-11) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
5/22Aranda is slugging .546 in his last 183 PA's against right-handers with high flyball rates like Cole over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
5/20Aranda is slugging .672 in his last 79 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Baz over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/19Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against hitters like Aranda over the last two years, but Aranda is batting just .118 (2-for-17) over his last 5 games.
Game Log
Bet
$
26-111-6 Over49g · 143 props
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jonathan Aranda hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jonathan Aranda hits the over on runs scored 0.5 48.9% of the time in 2026, going 23-24-2 with an average actual of 0.5.
Is Jonathan Aranda over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jonathan Aranda over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$459 (+9.37% ROI). The hit rate is 48.9% with an average actual of 0.5.
What is Jonathan Aranda's runs scored average this season?
Jonathan Aranda averages 0.5 runs scored per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.